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r/artificial 41일 전

2026년 1분기 기술업계 8만 명 해고, 약 50%가 AI 탓

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2026년 1분기 기술 업계 해고자 수는 약 8만 명에 달하며, 이 중 절반 가까운 47.9%가 AI 및 업무 자동화로 인한 인력 감축 때문인 것으로 나타났습니다. 그러나 일각에서는 실제 AI 생산성 향상보다 경영 실적 악화나 과도한 채용에 대한 핑계로 AI를 내세우는 'AI 워싱(AI washing)' 현상이 존재한다고 지적합니다. 이는 기술 도입 초기이지만 직장인들에게 실질적인 위협이 될 수 있으며, 장기적인 인재 파이프라인 단절 위험을 내포하고 있어 중요한 이슈입니다.

번역된 본문

2026년 1월 1일부터 4월까지 기술 업계에서 약 78,557명의 근로자가 해고된 것으로 보고되었으며, 해고된 직장의 76% 이상이 미국에 위치해 있습니다.

니혼게이자이(Nikkei Asia)에 따르면 이번 감원 중 37,638건(47.9%)은 AI 및 업무 흐름 자동화(AI and workflow automation)로 인해 인력에 대한 필요성이 줄어든 탓인 것으로 파악되었습니다. 그럼에도 불구하고 코그니잔트(Cognizant)의 바박 호드잣(Babak Hodjat) 최고 AI 책임자(CAIO)는 최신 AI 기술이 노동 시장에 미치는 영향을 온전히 파악하려면 1년 이상이 더 걸릴 것이라고 말했습니다.

호드잣은 이번 감원과 관련하여 니혼게이자이에 다음과 같이 말했습니다. "이러한 해고들이 실제 생산성 향상과 직접적으로 관련이 있는지는 모르겠습니다. 아시다시피 때로는 회사가 사람을 너무 많이 뽑았거나 규모를 축소하고 싶을 때, 재무적 관점에서 AI가 액정으로 내세워지기도 합니다."

그럼에도 그는 AI로 인한 해고가 여전히 발생할 수 있다고 말하면서, "기업들이 AI를 통해 실질적인 생산성 향상을 보기까지는 6개월에서 1년이 더 걸릴 것이며", "우리가 이 과정을 겪으면서 모두에게 고통스러울 것이고, 단지 이것이 하나의 전환기이기 때문입니다."라고 덧붙였습니다. 이는 이미 연이은 해고로 큰 타격을 입고 있는 업계에 있어 결코 좋은 징조가 아닙니다. 오라클(Oracle)은 최근 조용히 10,000개 이상의 직무를 감축했으며, 이를 통해 절감된 비용은 데이터 센터 자금에 배정된 것으로 알려졌습니다.

많은 기관과 업계 지도자들은 이미 AI로 인한 해고에 대해 경고하고 있습니다. 인류과학자(AI 기업)의 다리오 아모데이(Dario Amodei) 최고경영자(CEO)와 포드(Ford)의 짐 팔리(Jim Farley) CEO는 이 기술이 미국 내 초급 사무직(white-collar)의 절반을 없앨 것이라고 말했습니다. 스탠퍼드(Stanford) 연구에 따르면 많은 초급 코딩 및 고객 서비스 직무가 이미 영향을 받고 있으며, 매사추세츠 공과대학(MIT) 시뮬레이션은 AI가 미국 노동력의 약 12%를 대체할 수 있어 약 1조 2천억 달러의 임금 손실을 초래할 것으로 보았습니다.

이러한 분석들에도 불구하고 일부 전문가들은 이러한 서사에 반박하며, 실적 부진의 핑계로 AI 해고가 이용되고 있다고 지적했습니다. 오픈AI(OpenAI)의 샘 알트만(Sam Altman) CEO는 인도 AI 영향력 정상회의(India AI Impact Summit)에서 다음과 같이 말했습니다. "정확한 비율이 얼마인지는 모르지만, 'AI 워싱(AI washing)' 현상이 존재합니다. 본래 감원을 해야 할 회사들이 AI를 핑계로 삼는 것이죠. 물론 AI가 실제로 여러 직업을 대체하는 현상도 일어나고 있습니다."

이들은 AI가 있든 없든 이러한 해고의 일부는 여전히 발생했을 것이라고 말하지만, 기술이 일자리에 영향을 미칠 것이며 우리가 파괴적 변화에 대비해야 한다는 데에는 여전히 의견이 일치합니다.

그럼에도 불구하고 이러한 추세를 거스르는 기업들도 소수 존재합니다. IBM은 2026년 초급 인력 채용을 세 배로 늘린 것으로 보고되었습니다. IBM은 AI가 많은 초급 업무를 수행할 수 있음에도 여전히 사람의 손길이 필요하다고 밝혔습니다. 또한, 초급 직위를 줄이는 것이 조직에 단기적인 비용 절감을 가져다주긴 하지만, 미래의 숙련된 노동자와 중간 관리자를 양성하는 데 필요한 인재 파이프라인을 단절시킬 위험이 있습니다. 이는 AI를 배포하고 투자한 기업이 더 많은 사람을 고용할 가능성이 있다는 EU(European Union)의 데이터에 의해서도 뒷받침됩니다.

비즈니스 프로세스 아웃소싱(BPO) 운영이 대부분 사람에게 의존하는 코그니잔트조차도 AI 기술 개발을 시작했습니다. 이들은 샌프란시스코와 벵갈루루에 AI 연구소를 설립하고 맞춤형 솔루션 개발을 시작했습니다.

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Copy link Facebook X Whatsapp Reddit Pinterest Flipboard Email Share this article 8 Join the conversation Follow us Add us as a preferred source on Google Newsletter Stay On the Cutting Edge: Get the Tom's Hardware Newsletter Get Tom's Hardware's best news and in-depth reviews, straight to your inbox. Contact me with news and offers from other Future brands Receive email from us on behalf of our trusted partners or sponsors By submitting your information you agree to the Terms & Conditions and Privacy Policy and are aged 16 or over. You are now subscribed Your newsletter sign-up was successful An account already exists for this email address, please log in. Subscribe to our newsletter 78,557 workers in the tech industry have reportedly been laid off from January 1 to April 2026, with more than 76% of the affected positions located in the U.S. Nikkei Asia reports that 37,638 of these cuts, or 47.9%, have been attributed to the reduced need for human workers because of AI and workflow automation. Despite that, Cognizant Chief AI Officer Babak Hodjat says that it will still take more than a year before we completely see the impact of modern AI technologies on the workforce. “I don’t know if they are directly related to actual productivity gains,” Hodjat told Nikkei in reference to the job cuts. “Sometimes, you know, AI becomes the scapegoat from a financial perspective, like when a company hired too many, or they want to resize, and it gets blamed on AI.” Despite that, he said that AI-driven layoffs could still happen, but that it would take another six months to a year “before companies start seeing real productivity gains from AI,” and that “it will be painful for all of us as we’re going through it, and simply because it’s a transition.” This does not bode well for the industry, which has already been reeling from layoffs. Oracle has quietly cut more than 10,000 positions recently, with the savings purportedly allocated to data center funding. Many institutions and industry leaders have already been warning about AI-driven layoffs, with Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei and Ford CEO Jim Farley saying that the technology will wipe out half of entry-level white-collar jobs in the U.S. A Stanford study saw many entry-level coding and customer service jobs are already being affected , with an MIT simulation showing that AI can replace nearly 12% of the U.S. workforce, amounting to nearly $1.2 trillion in lost salaries . Article continues below Despite all these analyses, some experts are pushing back against this narrative, pointing out that AI-driven layoffs were just being used as an excuse for poor business performance . OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said during the India AI Impact Summit , “I don’t know what the exact percentage is, but there’s some AI washing where people are blaming AI for layoffs that they would otherwise do, and then there’s some real displacement by AI of different kinds of jobs.” While they say that some of these layoffs would still happen with or without AI, there’s still a consensus that the technology would have an impact on jobs and that we should be ready for a disruption. Still, there are a few companies that are bucking the trend. IBM has reportedly tripled its entry-level hiring in 2026, saying that while AI can do many entry-level jobs, it still needs a human touch. Furthermore, while cutting entry-level jobs would deliver short-term savings for any organization, it comes with the risk of erasing the pipeline needed to train future experienced workers and mid-level managers. This is backed up by data from the EU, which showed that companies that deployed and invested in AI are likely to hire more people . Even Cognizant, whose business process outsourcing operations rely mostly on people, have started working on AI technologies. It built AI labs in San Francisco and Bengaluru and have started developing custom AI agents for its clients, especially as many of them found that off-the-shelf services do not work well in the corporate setting due to performance or security issues. Despite the development of more capable and suitable AI agents, Hodjat said that the company does not expect to lay off staff. Instead, it will train them in the use of these tools, and there are even plans to hire more junior roles. "There's going to be a ton of people that are coming out of school that can't find a job and don't have the domain expertise,” Hodjat told Nikkei . “You have to bring them in. You have to have them learn on the job, on how to use AI within the various domains.” Stay On the Cutting Edge: Get the Tom's Hardware Newsletter Get Tom's Hardware's best news and in-depth reviews, straight to your inbox. Contact me with news and offers from other Future brands Receive email from us on behalf of our trusted partners or sponsors Follow Tom's Hardware on Google News , or add us as a preferred source , to get our latest news, analysis, & reviews in your feeds. See all comments (8) Jowi Morales Contributing Writer Jowi Morales is a tech enthusiast with years of experience working in the industry. He’s been writing with several tech publications since 2021, where he’s been interested in tech hardware and consumer electronics. 8 Comments Comment from the forums I mean... This: "Some experts argue that AI was just used as an excuse for poor business decisions". You can simply reduce that to: "shareholder grunts for more money and exec made bad decisions, then sacrifice the lower levels until neck can't be saved". Even then, they still get golden parachutes. It's the history of humanity. Some people use Iwata as the golden standard, but... That was mostly due to Japanese law being very clear on how lay offs should be handled, which, to my memory, is rather unique to them. Yes, it was a nice gesture, but not as selfless as many want to portray it as. Regardless, what is the "normal" here? Against what number does this need to be compared? It's a high number, but given the size of the IT employee pool around the world, not sure how it compared to "normal" movement? I didn't see it mentioned in the article/news. I hope I'm not that blind. Regards. Reply I hope that the programmers who went along with creating their own AI replacements are the first to get fired. We know why the big wigs and power brokers want AI. Why did those at the bottom agree? No love. I got no love. People want to make their beds then complain that that's the bed the gotta sleep in. Well you did it!! What the heck. It's like who are the programmers who programmed in Google's spyware? Who are the programmers who programmed in Microsoft's spyware? Meta's spyware? Etc etc. Well if you are the programmer who created the spyware, you got no room to complain about your loss of security and confidentiality. None at all. Go eat your pizza, you baked the thing then you want to complain. Reply Many who are not in the theme would be very surprized to find that in almost 100% cases the news about layoffs are met with the rise of stock prices by the respective shareholders. Hence be prepared: when AI reach the AGI nothing will stop the CEO at the request of shareholders to fire even the last employee. Reply 2027 80,000 people rehired after ai botches something to stupid lol. Reply It's all AI washing. Executives can do lay offs while claiming productivity increase to boost stock price. Reply ezst036 said: I hope that the programmers who went along with creating their own AI replacements are the first to get fired. We know why the big wigs and power brokers want AI. Why did those at the bottom agree? No love. I got no love. People want to make their beds then complain that that's the bed the gotta sleep in. Well you did it!! What the heck. It's like who are the programmers who programmed in Google's spyware? Who are the programmers who programmed in Microsoft's sp
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