미국 내 계획된 AI 데이터센터 건설의 절반 가까이가 전력 인프라 및 핵심 부품 부족으로 지연되거나 취소될 것으로 보입니다. 특히 변압기, 개폐기, 배터리 등 필수 전력 기자재의 공급망 병목 현상이 프로젝트 진행을 가로막고 있으며, 이는 막대한 AI 투자금이 실제 가동 능력으로 전환되지 못할 위기를 초래하고 있습니다.
번역된 본문
미국과 중국 간의 무역전쟁으로 인해 서버 제조업체들이 중국을 떠나면서 미국 기업의 중국 내 생산 의존도는 크게 줄어들었습니다. 그러나 중국은 여전히 AI 데이터센터 내외부의 전력 인프라를 구축하는 데 필요한 전기 설비를 세계에서 가장 많이 생산하는 국가입니다. 블룸버그(Bloomberg)에 따르면, 중국 및 기타 국가의 전력 공급 장비 부족 현상이 프로젝트 일정을 지연시키고 있습니다.
AI 인프라에 대한 전례 없는 수준의 투자에도 불구하고(알파벳, 아마존, 메타, 마이크로소프트는 2026년에만 AI 역량 확장을 위해 6,500억 달러 이상을 지출할 것으로 예상됨), 블룸버그에 따르면 올해 미국 내 계획된 데이터센터 건설의 거의 절반이 지연되거나 취소될 것으로 예상됩니다. 이러한 차질의 주요 원인 중 하나는 AI 기업들이 데이터센터에 충분한 전력을 공급하기 위해 전력망 인프라를 확장해야 함에 따라 데이터센터 내외부에서 사용되는 변압기(transformer), 개폐기(switchgear), 배터리 등 핵심 전기 부품의 가용성 문제입니다. 한편, 전력망 인프라는 전기차 및 전기 난방 시스템으로 인해서도 큰 부담을 받고 있습니다.
블룸버그가 인용한 시장 조사업체 사이트라인 클라이메이트(Sightline Climate)의 데이터에 따르면, 2026년 미국에서 약 12GW(기가와트)의 데이터센터 용량이 가동될 것으로 예상됩니다. 그러나 여러 제약 조건으로 인해 현재 활발하게 건설 중인 용량은 그중 약 3분의 1에 불과합니다.
전기 인프라는 전체 데이터센터 비용의 10% 미만을 차지하지만, 컴퓨팅 하드웨어만큼이나 필수적입니다. 전력 체인의 단일 요소라도 지연되면 전체 프로젝트가 중단될 수 있으므로, 자본적 지출(CapEx)에서 차지하는 비중이 상대적으로 작음에도 불구하고 변압기, 개폐기 및 유사 장비들은 매우 중요한 품목입니다.
수요가 높아짐에 따라 미국 내 대용량 변압기의 리드 타임(납기)이 크게 늘어났습니다. 블룸버그가 인용한 사이트라인 클라이메이트에 따르면, 2020년 이전에는 배달에 일반적으로 24~30개월이 소요되었지만 오늘날에는 대기 기간이 최대 5년까지 늘어날 수 있습니다. AI 데이터센터의 배포 주기가 18개월 미만인 점을 고려하면 이는 재앙과도 같은 상황입니다.
부족 현상을 해결하기 위해 기업들은 글로벌 시장으로 눈을 돌리고 있습니다. 그 결과, 캐나다, 멕시코, 한국이 AI 데이터센터용 대용량 변압기의 최대 공급국이 되었습니다. 동시에, 블룸버그가 인용한 우드 맥켄지(Wood Mackenzie) 데이터에 따르면 중국산 대용량 변압기 수입량은 2022년 1,500대 미만에서 2025년 10월까지 8,000대 이상으로 급증했습니다. 블룸버그에 따르면, 중국의 수입품 변동성은 변압기에 그치지 않으며, 중국은 미국 배터리 수입의 40% 이상을 차지하고 있고 특정 변압기 및 개폐기 카테고리에서의 점유율은 여전히 약 30% 수준을 유지하고 있습니다.
결론적으로 변압기, 개폐기, 배터리의 공급 제약 문제가 해결되지 않으면, 수조 달러 규모의 AI 투자금조차 실제 AI 처리 능력으로 전환되지 못할 수 있습니다.
Copy link Facebook X Whatsapp Reddit Pinterest Flipboard Email Share this article 10 Join the conversation Follow us Add us as a preferred source on Google Newsletter Stay On the Cutting Edge: Get the Tom's Hardware Newsletter Get Tom's Hardware's best news and in-depth reviews, straight to your inbox. Contact me with news and offers from other Future brands Receive email from us on behalf of our trusted partners or sponsors By submitting your information you agree to the Terms & Conditions and Privacy Policy and are aged 16 or over. You are now subscribed Your newsletter sign-up was successful An account already exists for this email address, please log in. Subscribe to our newsletter The trade-war between the U.S. and China has forced server makers out of the People's Republic, greatly reducing reliance of American companies on producers from Tianxia. However, China remains the world's largest producer of electrical equipment that is required to build power infrastructure inside and outside of AI data centers. To that end, shortages of power delivery equipment, including devices from China and other countries, are slowing project timelines, Bloomberg reports. Despite the unprecedented level of investment in AI infrastructure — Alphabet, Amazon , Meta, and Microsoft are expected to spend more than $650 billion in 2026 to expand AI capacity — close to half of the planned U.S. data center builds this year are projected to be delayed or canceled, according to Bloomberg . One major reason behind these setbacks is the availability of key electrical components — such as transformers, switchgear, and batteries — that are used both at data center sites and outside of them, as AI companies must expand grid infrastructure to supply enough power to their data centers. Meanwhile, grid infrastructure is also stressed by electric vehicles and electrified heating systems. Approximately 12 gigawatts (12 GW) of data center capacity is expected to come online in the U.S. in 2026, according to data by market intelligence firm Sightline Climate cited by Bloomberg . Yet only about one-third of that capacity is currently under active construction because of various constraints. Article continues below Electrical infrastructure represents less than 10% of total data center cost, but it is as vital as compute hardware. A delay in any single element of the power chain can halt the entire project, which makes transformers, switchgear, and similar devices critical items despite their relatively small share of CapEx. Due to high demand, lead times for high-power transformers have expanded dramatically in the U.S.: delivery typically took 24 to 30 months before 2020, but waiting periods can stretch to as long as five years today, according to Sightline Climate cited by Bloomberg . For AI data centers, this is a catastrophe as their deployment cycles are under 18 months. To address shortages, companies are turning to global markets. As a result, Canada, Mexico, and South Korea became the biggest suppliers of high-power transformers for AI data centers to AI data centers. At the same time, imports of high-power transformers from China surged from fewer than 1,500 units in 2022 to more than 8,000 units in 2025 through October, according to Wood Mackenzie data cited by Bloomberg . The volatility of exports from China does not end with transformers, as the PRC accounts for over 40% of U.S. battery imports, while its share in certain transformer and switchgear categories remains near 30%, according to Bloomberg . Stay On the Cutting Edge: Get the Tom's Hardware Newsletter Get Tom's Hardware's best news and in-depth reviews, straight to your inbox. Contact me with news and offers from other Future brands Receive email from us on behalf of our trusted partners or sponsors Without resolving constraints in transformers, switchgear, and batteries, even trillions of dollars in AI investment may not translate into actual AI capacity, as deployments will depend on power infrastructure availability, not capital or compute hardware constraints. Despite a decade of reshoring initiatives, U.S. manufacturing capacity for electrical equipment remains insufficient, which means that AI companies continue to rely on imports even amid tariffs and national security concerns. Meanwhile, tensions between China and the U.S. threaten to further disrupt supply chains, which will raise costs and could delay deployments of advanced AI data centers. Follow Tom's Hardware on Google News , or add us as a preferred source , to get our latest news, analysis, & reviews in your feeds. TOPICS See all comments (10) Anton Shilov Contributing Writer Anton Shilov is a contributing writer at Tom’s Hardware. Over the past couple of decades, he has covered everything from CPUs and GPUs to supercomputers and from modern process technologies and latest fab tools to high-tech industry trends. 10 Comments Comment from the forums Globalisation... You can't have your cake and eat it, too. Reply Power is 50% of the issue, the other are the people, no one wants a Data Center in their backyard. I feel like I live in the center of this, 8 planned Datacenters in the last year, 2 have already been cancelled because of protestors and lack of public support, 1 is being built, and 5 more who knows? Reply Rand0m_Guy said: Power is 50% of the issue, the other are the people, no one wants a Data Center in their backyard. I feel like I live in the center of this, 8 planned Datacenters in the last year, 2 have already been cancelled because of protestors and lack of public support, 1 is being built, and 5 more who knows? Guess the AI datacenter satellites are going to be a winner. Reply Even if they get power they will have nothing to put in them. The equipment manufacture like memory seem to feel there is no need to upgrade capacity. If all these data centers went online they still could sell all the memory they can make. So even though the AI companies are making huge bets it seems the more normal business feel the AI companies are wrong and will not actually need these new data centers. They do not want to risk expanding capacity and then the AI bubble pop. Reply Faiakes said: Globalisation... You can't have your cake and eat it, too. I mean it isnt just that. We didnt keep strong cores in multiple countries for most of this stuff and so its either Taiwan or China Reply Also doesn't hurt that China has been implementing a massive power grid upgrade for the last ten years or so. They've built the capacity to build and maintain that, I don't think they planned out having to provide switch gear and mains equipment for hundreds of additional data centers globally. Reply You know it's so over when parts for critical infrastructure are outsourced, and then your government forgets that it's no longer self-sufficient at maintaining itself. Reply Notton said: You know it's so over when parts for critical infrastructure are outsourced, and then your government forgets that it's no longer self-sufficient at maintaining itself. Exactly. In my opinion this is a huge reason why governments need to be balanced, and have checks and balances. Our government has been gutted and deregulated, and corporations have not been held in check. As a result we get short term greed driving all of the decisions. Corporations get bigger, they buy more control, politicians give them whatever they want - more deregulation, support for outsourcing jobs, changing the laws to allow bigger mergers, etc. For example, The Telecommunications Act of 1996 not only allowed our media to be controlled by 5 conglomerates, it allowed two of those behemoths to merge (Disney acquiring Fox/NewsCorp). A merger like that should never have been allowed to happen. But Clinton’s signing of the Telecom Act made it legal. And in exchange the politicians get bribes, kickbacks, continued support and of course big money jobs in the private sector down the road.